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Dr Subhash Kapila


Indian Foreign Policy 2018 Reclaiming the Neighbourhood

Indian PM Narendra Modi in 2018 has wisely switched once again the focus of Indian foreign policy on reclaiming India’s neighbourhood which stood lost and was inherited in mid-2014 as…

China-India Wuhan Summit April 2018: Competing Geopolitical Perspectives

The China-India Informal Summit between Indian PM Modi and Chinese President Xi Jinping at Wuhan, China on April 27-28 201 8 was high on hopes and media hype. Competing geopolitical…

India’s China Policy Reset 2018 Strategically Inadvisable without India Stipulating Benchmarks for China

India once again stands plagued reminiscent of 2004-05 with China throwing “thaws” and seconded by Indian China-Apologists and some in the policy establishment arguing for a reset of India’s China…

Pakistan’s Western Frontiers Restive: The Pakhtun Awakening

Pakistan’s Western Frontiers comprising Balochistan, Khyber Pakhtunwa Province and Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA), have been restive for decades but recent Pakhtuns widespread protests in Islamabad and in rest of…

United States-Russia Military Confrontation 2018 & its Implications for Indian Foreign Policy

United States and Russia are in a state of edgy military confrontation which has all the potential of a flare-up and military showdown. Inherent in this are serious implications for…

Afghanistan’s Comparative Perceptions of Pakistan and India

Afghanistan was posed with mighty challenges on the Partition of the Indian Subcontinent in 1947 wherein Pakistan despite its Islamic commonality with Afghanistan became interposed as a “Hostile Neighbour” between…

China’s Strategic Vulnerabilities make it Assailable

China in the 21st Century may have a mighty military machine and a threatening missiles arsenal capable of hitting Continental United States but the Great Wall of China on land and…

Indian Foreign Policy Establishment’s China Policy Conundrum

India and its foreign policy establishment’s most confusing conundrum once again is to clearly define whether in the larger and long-range perspective China is India’s ‘Friend or Foe’? India’s lack…

Japan’s Naval Outreach to France and Britain

Japan’s increasing strategic profile in 2018 now transcends the rapid buildup of its military muscle to forging strategic relationships especially in the maritime domain with France and Britain to offset…

Israel-India Strategic Partnership 2017 “Seizing the Future” Strongly Reaffirmed in 2018: Analysis

The January 2018 visit of Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu has strongly reaffirmed the Israel-India Strategic Partnership signed in mid-2017 and which the Israeli Prime Minister had then very aptly described…

Japan’s Geopolitical Assertiveness is an Asian Security Imperative in 2018

Asian security environment plagued with volatility spawned by China’s hegemonistic impulses visible in 2018 places a special call on Japan’s geopolitical assertiveness. Japan is well positioned to do so with…

Middle East Strategic Churning’s implications for South Asia

The ongoing strategic churning in Middle East portends an unpredictable course for regional power tussles which are not only spawning volatility amongst the United States and Russia but also generates…

Pakistan Loses Utility in United States Strategic Calculus 2018

Strategic utility of a smaller nation to that of a major power lies in its credibility, usefulness and loyal effectiveness to serve the national security interests of its strategic patron…

Afghanistan’s Future: The imperatives of United States Resolve

Afghanistan in no military sense has emerged as United States ‘Second Vietnam’ ; however if the United States wavers in its current resolve to stabilise Afghanistan’s governance and security, then,…

Russia-China-India Trilateral Geopolitically Redundant in 2017

The recent Russia-China-India Trilateral Foreign Ministers Meet in New Delhi brings into sharp focus the charade of perpetuating a geopolitically redundant conclave which serves no security interests of India. Significantly,…

Japan’s Imperatives to Break-Free from its Pacifist Constitution

Japan on the verge of 2018 is geopolitically a ‘Leading Power’ in Asia along with India, and both as important heavy counterweights to a militarily disruptive China need to fast-track…

Pakistan September 2017: State of the Nation & its Regional Implications

Pakistan in September 2017 perceptionaly appears in an existential crisis wherein all major pillars of state stand engulfed in a systemic failure likely to endanger regional security and a crisis…

China & India: Inconceivable for Elephant and Dragon to Dance together

Post-Dokalam Standoff in which China defused the confrontation as a political expedient to save the BRICS Summit in Beijing in September 2017, the new Chinese flavour of the season advocated…

US-Japan-India Trilateral Ministerial Dialogue September 2017 Analysed

Geopolitically, in the context of a threatening Asian security environment, the Second US-Japan-India Trilateral Ministerial Dialogue of the Foreign Ministers of the three nations was held in New York on…

China’s Flawed Military Capabilities Assessments on limited war with India

China’s war threats against India following the Dokalam Standoff in mid-June 2017 have been shrill, threatening and a desire to ‘Teach India a Lesson’. The latest is an SCMP post…

Asian Security 2017 Endangered by China and its Proxies War-Mongering

China and nuclear weapons states created as proxies by China, that is, North Korea and Pakistan, have rendered Asian security as explosive in 2017 by their unrestrained war-mongering and sabre-rattling…

China’s War Threats and Military Brinkmanship against India 2017 analysed

China-India military confrontation in the High Himalayas as a consequence of China’s military occupation of Tibet in 1950 and the unprovoked Chinese invasion of India in end 1962 has in…

Israel-India Strategic Partnership 2017: “Seizing the Future”

“Seizing the Future” in the words of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, most aptly and precisely, captures the essence of the iconic yet overly belated Israel-India Strategic Partnership forged by…

Sunni NATO Military Alliance Spells Conflict in the Middle East

Highlighted in my previous article was the reality that what was being projected as the Islamic Military Alliance to Fight Terrorism was in essence a Sunni Muslim NATO Alliance engineered…

Afghaistan subjected to Unholy Machinations of Pak-China-Russia Trilateral

Afghanistan seems to have been subjected to an increasing number of suicide bombings/terrorist attacks especially in Kabul ever since the emergence of the unholy Pakistan-China-Russia Trilateral and its more than…

South Korea in China’s Strategic Calculus Analysed

  China’s strategic calculus imperatives dictate that South Korea never achieves reunification with North Korea and hence the futility of any of South Korea’s episodic “Sunshine Policies”. Addedly, China’s destabilising…

Manchester Bomb Blast: Lessons for India

  The suicide bomber attack on 22 My 2017 at a Manchester concert stands out analytically as an Islamic jihadi terrorist attack, once again manifesting that this scourge visiting liberal…

Theatre Commands for Indian Military is a Flawed Concept

  The Indian Republic faces today a hostile military environment with two of its major military threats having coalesced raising spectre of war at short notice which thus militates against…

‘Sunni Muslim NATO Alliance’ 2017 commanded by former Pak Army Chief reviewed

The Islamic Military Alliance to Fight Terrorism (IMAFT) sponsored by Saudi Arabia which is a misnomer as it is essentially a “Sunni Muslim NATO Alliance” has finally emerged in May…

Afghanistan: Original Sins by United States & Prognostications 2017

The United States original sins on Afghanistan and the after effects of which haunt the United States in 2017 is that in both its military interventions in Afghanistan and more…

Afghanistan Time Running Out

US Policy Focus 2017-Middle East or East Asia?

The United States in 2017 seems to be falling into the same trap of the decade of the 2000s wherein US Middle East-predominant policy focus enabled China’s military rise threatening…

Russia’s Unprincipled Rebound to Afghanistan 2017

Russia’s unprincipled rebound to Afghanistan clearly visible in 2017 in the company of Pakistan and the Taliban who jointly spearheaded the Soviet exit from Afghanistan reflects the Russian depravity of…

India’s Foreign Policy 2017-The Pitfalls Ahead

India’s foreign policy while focussing on India’s national interests cannot at the same time in 2017 be oblivious to China’s and Pakistan’s concerted efforts for a geopolitical and strategic diminution…

NATO Alliance Regains Relevance in New Global Geopolitics

Global Geopolitics in 2017 are fast acquiring the contours of the initial years of the cold war when both the former Soviet Union (now Russia) and China were geopolitically aligned…

Global Balance of Power 2017 weighted heavily against China-Russia Nexus

Global balance of power 2017 is weighted heavily against perceived combined strategic weight of the China-Russia nexus as the history of 20th Century World Wars would indicate that Hitlerian impulses do…

Japan and India in the New Asian Geopolitical Matrix 2017

Asia’s new geopolitical matrix in 2017 will be determined by the challenges that US President throws at China and the likely reset of US polices on Russia and it is…

Afghanistan cannot be abandoned to China-Pakistan-Russia Troika in 2017

Afghanistan seemed to have disappeared from the United States radar in the months to the run-up to US Presidential Elections resulting in a void which the China-Pakistan-Russia Troika has exploited…

Russia and United States Détente’ in 2017 Prospects Analysed

Russia and United States détente’ is a geopolitical imperative in 2017 for global stability and security when placed in context of China’s unbridled provocative military rise. Russia and the United…

India’s Foremost 2017 Foreign Policy Challenge: China-Pakistan-Russia Troika

The China-Pakistan-Russia Troika having emerged on the South Asian geopolitical scene now with undisguised contours and political signalling emerges as India’s foremost foreign policy challenge in 2017. The China-Pakistan Axis…

Chabahar’s Imperatives to Emerge as Flagship of Iran-India Strategic Partnership

Chabahar Port in Eastern Iran and Gwadar in Western Pakistan, both on the North Arabian Sea littoral have emerged as the latest chess-pieces in the maritime Great Power Game unfolding…

Pakistan’s New Army Chief General Bajwa & India’s Futile Speculation

Pakistan’s announcement of new Army Chief General Qamar Javed Bajwa on November 24 2016 set in motion a torrent of futile Indian media speculation on positive implications for India in…

Japan-India Special Strategic Partnership and China

Japan –India Special Strategic Partnership which stood further concretised with Indian Prime Minister Modi’s visit to Japan in mid-November 2016 has been a pointed eyesore for China going by the…

US-India Strategic Partnership and incoming President Trump

US President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration on January 20 2017 ushers in a new era and a challenging one for the US-India Strategic Partnership and the personal diplomatic qualities of PM…

Japan: Indian Imperatives to Enhance Strategic Bonds to a Higher Plane

Asia’s evolving geopolitics places a high premium on Indian imperatives to enhance strategic bonds to a higher plane during Prime Minister Modi’s visit to Japan on November 11-12,  2016 for…

Russia’s confrontation with NATO by Securing Eastern Flank

Russia’s ongoing confrontation with the US-led NATO Alliance on its Western Flank could not have been strategically possible but for an understanding that its Eastern Flank in Asia Pacific would…

United States Should not be Strategically Diverted from Asia Pacific 2016

The United States stood strategically distracted from Asia Pacific in the last decade resulting in China’s unimpeded militarisation of the South China Sea and the emergence of China as a…

BRICS Summit October 2016 in India Against Soured Background

The 8th BRICS Summit is being hosted by India in Goa on October 15-16 2016 ordinarily would have passed off as an eventful diplomatic event, but it now takes place against…

India Finally Sheds Two Decades of ‘Strategic Restraint’ against Pakistan

India’s military strikes across the LOC on Pakistan Army harboured terrorists launching pads in the early hours of September 29 2016 marks a paradigm shift in India’s much needed dispensing…

SAARC Needs Disbandment

Contemporary politico-military developments in the Indian Subcontinent in the run-up to 2016 clearly posit that SAARC which was raised with great hopes in December 1985 to foster regional cooperation has…

Afghanistan: The Imperatives of Military Capacity Building by India

Afghanistan in mid-2016 presents a bleak security picture with the country once again being subjected to series of suicide bombings in Kabul and Taliban again becoming active against the State…