Dr Subhash Kapila
Pakistan’s Olive Branch to India March 2021 Perceptionaly under China’s Nudge
Pakistan’s extending an olive branch to India repeated twice since January 2021 by Pakistan Army Chief has analytically not arisen from some divine revelation but seems to be under China’s…
Myanmar’s Geostrategic Significance Demands United States Patronisation and not Demonisation in 2021
Myanmar’s geostrategic significance in 2021 in relation to the fast menacing China Threat to Indo Pacific security endows it with significant “Strategic Asset Value” for the United States, the West,…
China Flings Provocative Strategic Gauntlet at New US President Joe Biden 2021
China’s President Xi Jinping unmindful of the geopolitical forces stacked against China in 2021has in his characteristic propensity for aggressive brinkmanship has gambled to throw multiple provocative strategic gauntlets at…
NATO Military Alliance Europe Highlights Strategic Concerns on Emerging China Threat
The “China Threat” is no longer a security challenge confined to India, Japan and Indo Pacific nations but now palpably perceived as a global threat- in –the- making impacting the…
Afghanistan and India 2020 Emerging Perspectives
Afghanistan in 2020 is at critical crossroads arising from uncertainties in wake of US-Taliban Doha Accords impelled by US political expediencies. However, one glimmering certainty is India’s continuing commitment to…
Russia and China’s Contradictory Preferences in US Presidential Elections 2020
Russia and China otherwise knit together into a compulsive ‘Strategic Nexus’ due reasons of geopolitical expediencies are intriguingly positioned in contradictory preferences of their respective ‘Preferred Choice’ of next US…
China-Iran Strategic Partnership Agreement – Geopolitical Implications Analysed
China-Iran Strategic Partnership Agreement whose Draft was leaked in public domain some weeks back may appear at first sight to be a game-changer in Middle East geopolitics but when analysed…
Pakistan PM Imran Khan Mortgages Nation’s Future to China
Pakistan PM Imran Khan in a riposte to Saudi Arabia’s hardened stand snub against Pakistan consequent to Pakistan Foreign Minister’s threats to the Head of OIC on Kashmir issue has…
Japan & India Convergent Strategic Perspectives on ‘China-Threat’ Analysed
Japan and India while adhering to diplomatic niceties may under-play or de-emphasise the ‘China Threat’ as detrimental to Asian Security and to respective national security interests of Japan and India…
Kashmir As “Disputed Territory” Bogey Fades into History- 2019
Kashmir as ‘Disputed Territory’ bogey nauseatingly maintained by Pakistan ever since 1947 and permissively perpetuated by past Indian Governments due to political timidity faded into history on August 05 2019…
Pakistan Army Pushes Pakistan to Existential Cross Roads
Pakistan Army which tightly controls Pakistan’s foreign policy and security formulations has endangered Pakistan’s survival as an independent Nation-State with a looming critical existential crisis that emerges from what I…
China’s Military White Paper 2019 – Perceptionally Analysed
Perceptionally, the Chinese Military White Paper 2019 publicly released on July 24 needs to be viewed as a direct response to the United States generated geopolitical churning on China’s peripheries…
China Fighting a Losing Battle against US in Indo Pacific Region-2019
Perceptional battles which today constitute the main ingredient of foreign policies of major Nations indicates that China is losing out to United States in the Indo Pacific Region in 2019…
Japan Visit by US President Trump May 2019- Vexatious Geopolitical Overhang Analysed
US President Trump’s ongoing visit to Japan (May 25-28 2019) takes place when Japan singularly stands out contextually as US bulwark against vexatious geopolitical overhang of challenges posed to US…
India’s Foreign Policy- Post May 23 2019- Three Scenarios
India’s geopolitical significance rose to unprecedented heights in global strategic calculus under the assertive foreign policy initiatives and formulations of Prime Minister Modi during period 2014-19 coupled with international recognition…
Afghanistan’s Future Cannot be secured by sidelining India
US Special Envoy on Afghanistan Zalmay Khalilzad skipping India as he cavorts across other regional capitals from Islamabad to Amman to broker a peace settlement with Taliban raises crucial questions…
China Does not walk the talk extolling the Wuhan Spirit
The Chinese Prime Minister was recently extolling the Wuhan Spirit and how it has helped in keeping China-India relations on a friendly footing. Rhetoric aside, China’s actions in the wake…
China: Persists in Imposing Adversarial Template in Masood Azhar Case
China brazenly and wilfully reinforced Indian perceptions that its policies and actions in intent and deed are decidedly those of a diehard military opponent of India and Indian national security…
Pakistan and India Visits by Saudi Arabia Crown Prince- Analysed
Saudi Arabia Crown Prince Muhammad bin Salman, the de facto ruler of Saudi Arabia visited Pakistan and India – February 2019 with a further follow-up visit to China. Saudi Arabia’s…
Pakistan Based Terrorism and Suicide Bombings against India raising Ugly Head Again
Pakistan- based and Pakistan-reared terrorism and suicide bombings against India targeting Kashmir Valley have again raised their ugly heads in February 2019 which again brings into central focus the despicable…
Afghanistan Endangered By US Imparting Political Legitimacy to Taliban
Afghanistan’s secure and stable future, however apparently uncertain in 2019, stands more endangered by United States imparting political legitimacy to Afghan Taliban by engaging them in official peace talks in…
Afghanistan’s End-Game- Scenarios-Perspectives- Analysed
Afghanistan’s preferred end-scenario in positive terms of a ‘Stable and Secure Afghanistan’ not materialising after seventeen years of US military embedment arises mainly from United States reluctance to impose deterrent…
Russia’s Japan Policy on wrong side of Geo Political Realities
Russia seems in 2019 to have got its geopolitical realties wrong going by the condescending and arrogant statements of Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov made at an annual conference directed at Japan on the…
United States Potent Existential Crisis- 2018- The China Threat
The ‘China Threat ‘emerging in 2018 in comprehensive and diverse manifestations poses an existential crisis challenging not only the continuance of United States as the global unipolar Superpower but also…
Russia-India Relationship Perspectives Beyond 2018
Russia-India relationship beyond 2018 in terms of perspectives does not offer the same optimism and generate the same fizz as it did till before the disintegration of the Former Soviet…
Bangladesh: Sheikh Hasina Wins a Third Term: BNP Routed
In the elections held on December 30, the Awami League led Alliance won 288 seats with the BNP led Alliance winning only 7 sets. Three seats went to others. It…
Pakistan Army’s Day of Infamy-December 16 1971-Time to Ponder
Pakistan’s annals of history in the decades to come will carry rankling of December 16 1971 as “Pakistan Army’s Day of Infamy” when General Niazi of the Pakistan Army and…
Pakistan-US Relationship in Spiralling Nosedive -End 2018
Strategic denouement of the United States with Pakistan’s limited strategic utility to US interests was noticeable in end of last decade and has finally come to a head in end-2018…
China and United States on a Collision Trajectory -2018
China in end-2018 seems set firmly on a collision trajectory with the United States which has got accentuated with Chinese President Xi Jinping with his oversized strategic ambitions having…
Pakistan-China headed for Massive Shift due to Geopolitical Compulsions
Geopolitical compulsions seem to be bearing down heavily in steering Pakistan- China ‘All Weather Iron Brother Relations’ towards a massive shift in end-2018 whose first indicator has been the less…
Japan- Enhancing Security & Military Profile in Indo-Pacifc
Japan imperceptibly but surely is engaged in enhancing its security and military profile in a comprehensive manner which augurs well for overall Indo Pacific security and stability in what can…
Pakistan’s Failing Economy Arises from Oversized Pak Army’s Budget
Pakistan in 2018 has ended up as a ‘Economically Failed State’ chiefly due to massive appropriations by Pakistan Army GHQ in Rawalpindi with no questions dare asked nor accountability called…
India’s Pivotal Indo-Pacific Power Build up needs US & Russian Inputs
Contemporary and unfolding geopolitical imperatives dictate that both the United States and Russia need to stand committed to the power-buildup of India as the pivotal Indo Pacific Power. India’s power…
Putin’s Visit to India -October 2018-Comes with a heavy Pakistani Baggage
The Russia-India Special Strategic Partnership spanning decades has lost its sheen for India with Russia’s pivot in South Asia towards Pakistan as a piquant response to the growing US-India Strategic…
Middle East Acocalypse Now with Regional Power Tussle-2018
In the closing months of 2018, the Middle East security environment presents the spectacle of an intense power struggle going on among the major regional powers like Iran, Saudi Arabia,…
Afghanistan Geo Political Situation End 2018- Revisted
Geopolitically, Afghanistan in end-2018 can best be characterised that it has certainly not turned out as United States second not so victorious Vietnam War despite Pakistan’s effort in collusion with…
China’s Maritime Silk Road- Strategically impacts Indo-Pacifc Security
China’s Maritime Silk Road projects underway in the last two years emerges as a direct strategic and military challenge to the Indo Pacific Security Template adopted by the United States,…
China’s Political Outreach to India 2018 Contextualised By China-US Trade War
China’s political reachout to India, markedly in 2018, needs necessarily to be analysed in the context of the increasing China-US Trade War. Chinese present reachout to India is transactional and…
Myanmar: Report of fact-finding Mission on Rohingya: Its Aftermath
Towards the end of last month, the fact-finding Mission of OHCHR of UN released its formal report on the situation in Rohingya that is to be submitted to the UN…
Japan-India Special Strategic Partnership Needs Added Special Robustness
Perceptively missing and noticeable in the last one year is that the Japan-India Special Strategic & Global Partnership is progressing routinely without the fizz that should be attendant on it…
Pakistan New PM-Imran Khan: Nothing Changes
PM Imran Khan, Pakistan’s twenty second Prime Minister sworn on August 18 2018 was not swept into office with a thumping political majority but a cobbled coalition of sorts. Hovering…
Pakistan Army-PM Imran: A Lethal Combination for India
Pakistan Army’s propensity for consistently subjecting India to entire spectrum of military conflict and provocations is a documented fact enabled by its conversion of Pakistan as a “Garrison State” to…
Pakistan General Elections- Sobering Thoughts the day After
Pakistan’s political dynamics in the last seventy years stand significantly distinguished by a singular irony that in rare periods when there is no military rule, the civilian Prime Minister of…
United States-Russia Relations- Domestic Debate vs National Security
In mid-July 2018 the United States stands uncertainly poised at both geopolitical and strategic crossroads where due more to domestic political compulsions the United States is seemingly unable to discern…
China’s Game Plan to Ease Out US- Suceeding?
China for decades has chafed at the overwhelming geopolitical and military predominance that the United States had superimposed in the Western Pacific at China’s doorsteps. China for decades has employed…
Pakistan General Elections July 2018 Subverted by the Army-Judiciary Nexus
Pakistan General Elections July 2018 could have been a defining moment in Pakistan’s political history of a back-to-back democratic transfer of power through the ballot box. But all portents available…
East Asia Security Not Visibly Conflictual After Trump-Kim Summit
The Singapore Summit between US President Trump and North Korean Chairman Kim on the question of denuclearisation of North Korea on June 12 2018 seems to have been hyped out…
Pakistan General Elections July 2018 – Perspectives
Pakistan’s General Elections are scheduled for mid-July 2018 but the perspectives on it remain clouded in that in the run-up what has become abundantly clear is that the Pakistan Army-Supreme…
United States Pillars of Asian Security 2018
United States strategic embedment in Asian security can only be successfully effective when US policy in 2018 reflects that India and Japan are the pillars of Asian security and therefore…
Wuhan and Sochi Informal Summits: An Analysis
Evidence of PM Modi’s Successful Foreign Policy Geopolitical imperatives centering on India’s increasing significance in 2018 arising from Indian PM Narendra Modi’s assertive foreign policy successes post-2014 have resulted in…
