The stage has been set for a nuclear showdown/nuclear terrorism in the West (and South Asia?), the place and scale of which remains ambiguous. This is not about nuclear readiness and exercises by the P-5 or about Israel threatening nuclear attack on Yemen after Hezbollah targeted Israeli radars, facilitating Houthi attacks on Israeli ships in Haifa Port.
But the US is looking increasingly desperate in provoking Russia to do something big (use tactical nukes?). The war in Ukraine was never a Russo-Ukraine war but now the US-NATO has shed all pretenses. The target for the recent ATACM cluster missile attack in Sevastopol, Crimea was clearly chosen, controlled and executed by the US (not Ukraine). The navigation systems and drones that guide the ATACM missiles belong to the US and they do so constantly over the Black Sea, with NATO personnel inside Ukraine (instructors and experts) directing the strikes. Same goes for the CIA-linked Islamic State terrorist attack in Dagestan in Russia. Sevastapol and Dagestan are being termed as Russia’s 9/11 but what next?
The US intends to keep increasing the pressure on Moscow with missiles, drones and terrorist attacks deep inside Russia, together with aerial and sub-surface attacks in the Black Sea (through Ukraine of course). The US has officially allowed Ukraine to strike Russia anywhere using any weaponry. Russian President Vladimir Putin’s recent visit to North Korea and Russia-North Korea agreement to support each other has rattled America’s Joe Biden Administration enough to accelerate the war on Russia. Russia has armed its Su-30SM2 multipurpose fighter jets with missiles to target F-16 jets at 300 km range and deployed the S-500 air defence missile system in Crimea.
British MP Andrew Bridgen recently stated that NATO plans to carry out a false flag provocation in Europe using a “dirty bomb”, blaming it on Russia; Putin had already foreseen such an eventuality earlier. The US strategy apparently is to weaken Russian air defences using missiles and drones reaching a thousand km inside Russia, followed by more concentrated aerial attacks, and eventually a Russia-Europe nuclear exchange; keeping the US mainland safe? No doubt European countries and British economies will suffer and their economies will go down, further. But their leaders are too tightly tethered to Washington to protest, even as some of them will likely get booted out in coming elections.
Destruction in European countries would be of little concern to America – it would be somewhat similar to Ukraine, which is being admitted into the European Union. Similarly, civilian casualties in Europe would hardly bother Washington as long as the war causes massive destruction to Russia. After all 38,000 plus Palestinians killed in Gaza look small compared to the two million Vietnamese killed by the US in the Vietnam War.
According to the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), China could simply “quarantine” Taiwan preceding its integration with the mainland using “gray zone” tactics below the threshold of war; Chinese Coast Guard, maritime militia, police and maritime safety agencies could cut off access to Taiwan’s ports and essential supplies for the 23 million population, with the PLA playing only auxiliary and support roles.
America’s ‘gray zone’ tactics have predominantly been the establishment, training, arming and employing terrorist organizations all over the world – be it Al Qaeda, Islamic State, Jabat ul-Nusra and others. This is also the reason why the CIA maintains intimate links with countries like terror-generating Pakistan and Canada – a haven for terrorists. How Canada nurtures and exports terrorism globally is aptly covered in the book ‘Cold Terror’ by award winning author Stewart Bell.
America’s current gray zone arena ‘also’ includes Central Asia and Africa. The violence in Sudan is conducive for the Islamic State to revive its main base in that country. Recently, the Islamic State – Sahil Province and the al-Qaeda linked Jama’at Nasr al-Islam wal-Musilmin (JNIM) demanded from the Nigerian Government release of all civilians in the prisons of Niger before the start of negotiations. The government agreed and hundreds of Islamic Sate/JNIM cadres and civilians have been freed. More violence can be expected with the Islamic State and Al Qaeda competing to take control of the country and imposing Sharia. More proxy boots will be available to the US in the process.
J. Peter Scoblic, Adviser to former US President Gorge W Bush, writes in his book ‘U.S. Vs Them: Conservatism in the Age of Nuclear Terror’ that the Bush Administration deliberately offered the “Nuclear Deal” to India in the year 2005, knowing Pakistan would also expand its nuclear arsenal. He writes that the deal would enable New Delhi to more than double the production of nuclear warheads. And, if India built more nuclear weapons, it was likely that its chief enemy, Pakistan – nuclear-armed, jihadist-riddled and politically unstable Pakistan would do the same.
Scoblic further writes that Nicholas Burns, US Undersecretary of State for Political Affairs, told the Senate that the US wanted to transform its relations with India. In other words anyone worried about the proliferation impact of the deal was missing the forest for the trees. Does this signal nuclear weapons falling into the hands of Pakistan/other terrorist groups were considered no big deal since control of these terrorist groups would remain with the US?
More than two decades back, a guest speaker at the National Defence College in New Delhi, stated that his country had enough nuclear warheads to destroy the planet 60 times (name and credentials of the speaker are being withheld). But the question was what use is the balance 59-times capacity if the planet is destroyed with the first-time capability? Also, American and British warships carrying nuclear weapons have been docking in Japan, South Korea and elsewhere over the past several decades.
Yet, Western Think Tanks have always harped on a possible nuclear war in South Asia – nuclear exchange between India and Pakistan. Moreover, US participants in closed door international discussions were talking a decade plus back that China would use tactical nuclear weapons against India for gaining access to territory it wants – is this applicable to a situation like today where both Indian and Chinese forces are amassed along the Line of Actual Control (LAC)?
Current headlines are that India’s nuclear stockpile count has exceeded that of Pakistan for the first time. This is not surprising considering the SSBN and MIRV capability that India is purusing; which requires more missiles while China’s capability is many times more already.
But the question is what the American plans are for South Asia in the developing geostrategic environment? Faced with the US upping the ante against Russia over Ukraine, Putin has said he would arm America’s enemies and also indicated North Korea. With the likelihood of the conflict in the Korean Peninsula, and China exercising around Taiwan, won’t a likely option for the US be activating South Asia?
If NATO is planning a false flag operation in Europe using a dirty bomb, and blaming it on Russia, what stops NATO from doing a similar false flag operation in South Asia to divert China’s attention from Taiwan and open another front – an India-China war? What better opportunity to exploit the US-Pakistan-Islamic terrorist groups nexus? And, now an online radical platform has published PDF copies of “How To Make Weapons of Mass Destruction”. India could soon face low-yield nuclear weapons terrorist attacks.
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